India Rides Ahead of China – Asian News from UK

By Pune Media On Oct 20, 2024 17

India has surpassed China to become the largest two-wheeler market in the world, driven by rising demand in rural areas, supported by favourable monsoon conditions and government initiatives for rural development, a report showed on Friday.

Globally, two-wheeler sales grew 4 per cent (year-on-year) in the first half of 2024, according to Counterpoint Research.

Although India, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East and Africa saw growth, China and Southeast Asia (SEA) experienced a decline.

Senior analyst Soumen Mandal said that India’s two-wheeler market saw a remarkable 22 per cent YoY growth in the first half this year.

“This strong performance allowed India to surpass China and become the world’s largest two-wheeler market,” he mentioned.

Two-wheelers saw strong double-digit growth (year-on-year) in the second quarter of this fiscal in India.

In China, two-wheelers under 125cc remain popular, but consumers are increasingly opting for e-bicycles over motorcycles and scooters for daily commuting. This shift has led to a temporary slowdown in the Chinese two-wheeler market, particularly in the electric segment.

In South East Asia, major markets such as Indonesia, Vietnam, the Philippines, Thailand, and Malaysia saw a decline in two-wheeler sales due to geopolitical trade tensions, stricter lending criteria, and cautious consumer spending amid economic uncertainty.

The top-10 global two-wheeler manufacturers captured over 75 per cent of sales during H1 2024.

Honda maintained its leading position in the global two-wheeler market, followed by Hero MotoCorp, Yamaha, TVS Motor and Yadea.

TVS Motor was the fastest-growing brand (up 25 per cent YoY) among the top-10 brands while Yadea declined the most (down 29 per cent YoY), slipping to fifth position.

Neil Shah, Vice President of Research, said that electrification is on the rise, and by 2030, we expect four out of 10 two-wheelers sold to be electric.

“This shift is also accelerating the adoption of embedded cellular connectivity in the two-wheeler segment. As the automotive industry advances toward C-V2X technology, the two-wheeler segment will follow suit,” he noted.

Festive Fever Ignites Sales

The festive season has revived demand for the Indian auto industry as registration growth in the second week (October 10-October 16) improved for most of the segments compared to that seen in the first week of this year’s festive period, a report showed on Friday.

Two-wheelers (2Ws) registered mid-single-digit growth over the second week of last year’s festive season (October 22-October 28), while mopeds saw low double-digit growth, according to the report by BNP Paribas India.

While passenger vehicle (PV) sales declined, the decline reduced week-on-week.

The three-wheeler (3W) registrations declined by low-single digits, while those of tractors declined by mid-double digits.

“Week 2 data could see an upward revision as more data becomes available. The week-over-week growth in week 2 was better-than-historical week-on-week growth and showed signs of recovery,” the report mentioned.

Also, growth in the second half of last year’s festive period was lower than that in the first half.

Based on the historical progression of the festive season, if the current trend continues, the YoY growth during this year’s festive season is trending to be 13 per cent for 2W, 19 per cent for mopeds, 6 per cent for PV, 15 per cent for 3W and (-) 6 per cent for tractors.

In the second week of the current festive period, e-commerce sales have grown in mid-single digits, moderating from 49 per cent seen in the first week, suggesting moderating growth in urban markets post-online festive sales.

Meanwhile, two-wheelers saw strong double-digit growth (year-on-year) in the second quarter of this fiscal (FY25), while three-wheelers grew by high single digits. The original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) reported mixed revenue growth and margins in the July-September period, with 2Ws outperforming other segments. The domestic sales of passenger vehicles stood at 3,15,689 in September, compared to 3,16,908 units in September last year, according to the latest SIAM data.

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