NFL Picks And Odds For Week 4 Monday Night Football: Titans-Dolphins And Seahawks-Lions

Detroit Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown (14) is tackled by Seattle Seahawks cornerback Coby … [+] Bryant (8) during the second half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Sept. 17, 2023, in Detroit. (AP Photo/Duane Burleson)

Associated Press

The NFL Week 4 schedule concludes the month of September with another Monday Night Football doubleheader on Sept. 30. The winless Tennessee Titans (0-3) visit South Florida and shoot for their first win against the Miami Dolphins (1-2), who will start QB Tyler Huntley after coming over from Baltimore two weeks ago. The Seattle Seahawks (3-0) are now 1-of-3 remaining undefeated NFL teams when they travel to Michigan to tackle the Detroit Lions (2-1).

Monday Night Football Odds

Pro football odds from FanDuel Sportsbook refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting. Listed point spreads on favorites and over/under game totals. .

• Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins (-2.5), 37.5 points
• Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions (-4), 46.5

TEN-MIA – TV: ESPN 7:30 pm ET and SEA-DET – TV: ABC 8:15 ET

Streaming Live ESPN+

Bet Types, Point Spreads And How To Read The Odds

NFL Week 4 favorites are 8-6 SU and 4-9-1 ATS into Monday Night Football. For the season, favorites are 37-24 SU and 26-33-2 ATS with over/under game totals 28-34.

Titans-Dolphins Player Props

• TEN QB Will Levis passing yards: Over/Under 196.5
• MIA QB Tyler Huntley passing yards: O/U 165.5
• Titans RB Tony Pollard rushing yards: O/U 51.5
• Titans QB Tyler Huntley rushing yards: O/U 30.5 – Bet Under
• Dolphins RB De’Von Achane rushing yards: O/U 62.5, rec 26.5
• Titans WR Calvin Ridley receiving yards: O/U 42.5
• Titans WR DeAndre Hopkins receiving yards: O/U 38.5
• Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill receiving yards: O/U 52.5
• Dolphins WR Jayden Waddle receivng yards: O/U 37.5 – Bet Over
• Titans WR Calvin Ridley receiving yards: O/U 42.5

3 Prop Bets Titans-Dolphins

Respected sports handicapper and advanced model statistics guru Dr. Bob Sports provided additional stats and notes on the the Titans-Dolphins and Seahawks-Lions matchup with information you can bet on.

• Miami’s offense has averaged 1.6 yards per play less with Tua Tagovailoa off the field under head coach Mike McDaniel,
• Tyler Huntley will be the Dolphins quarterback on Monday night, and he is averaging -0.03 EPA/play for his career.
• Tennessee is missing two of their three most valuable defenders in DT Jeffery Simmons and cornerback Chidobe Awuzie. Rookie Jarvis Brownlee will try to defend WR Jaylen Waddle, who is averaging 0.92 EPA/target (5th). WR Tyreek Hill is averaging 2.04 yards per route run (12th).
• Titans QB Will Levis has 9 interceptions and 9 fumbles in his first 11 NFL starts. The Dolphins defense is conceding a 36% pass success rate to running backs (6th) and will shut down the screens as the Titans are targeting running backs on 27% of passes (2nd-most).
• Miami’s defense is allowing -0.20 EPA/rush (7th).
• Our model favors the Dolphins by 4.7 points, with a predicted total of 38.8 points.
• Bet Under game total and 1st half

Seahawks-Lions Player Props

Pro football props from FanDuel Sportsbook refresh periodically and are subject to change.

• SEA QB Geno Smith passing yards: Over/Under 244.5, rushing 10.5
• DET QB Jarod Goff passing yards: O/U 240.5
• SEA RB Kenneth Walker III rushing yards: O/U 54.5
• DET RB David Montgomery rushing yards: O/U 64.5, receiving 20.5
• DET WR Jahmyr Gibbs rushing yards: O/U 50.5
• SEA WR D.K. Metcalf receiving yards: O/U 64.5
• SEA WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba receiving yards: O/U 47.5
• SEA WR Tyler Lockett receiving yards: O/U 44.5
• DET WR Amon-Ra St. Brown receiving yards: O/U 75.5
• WR Jameson Williams receiving yards: O/U 43.5
• WR Tim Patrick receiving yards: O/U 13.5 – Bet Over

Stats And Notes

• Lions’ edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson’s 25 pressures are 7 more than anyone else this season. He gets another one this week with Seahawks 3rd-string RT Stone Forsythe ranked 43rd in pass blocking efficiency out of 56 qualifiers.
• The Lions should get even better defending quick passes this week with LB Alex Anzalone likely back in uniform. Anzalone leads linebackers with a 63% separation prevented rate.
• The Lions defense is allowing -0.26 EPA/rush (3rd in NFL).
• This game will likely come down to whether or not Smith can connect on some deep shots to wide receiver DK Metcalf, who has a league-leading 3 receptions with 20+ air yards into Week 4 action. Metcalf will go against Detroit CB Carlton Davis, who is allowing 2.00 yards per cover snap, which ranks 90th out of 92 qualifying cornerbacks.
• Detroit TE Sam LaPorta is banged-up and is also worth 0.5 points by our metrics after averaging 1.76 yards per route run in 2023 (5th).
• Seahawks cornerback Tariq Woolen is allowing only 0.27 yards per cover snap (4th) and he will contain WR Jameson Williams, who is averaging 1.95 yards per route run (17th).
• Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown has 106 receiving yards from the slot (10th) but nickelback Devon Witherspoon is conceding only 0.65 yards per cover snap in the slot (5th).
• Our model makes Detroit a 4.4-point favorite with a predicted total of 49.0.
• Bet Lions

More NFL news, picks, props and information you can bet on as the betting odds and futures adjust following each week’s game.

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