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Brazil’s B3 Steadies at Support as Exporters Rally Retail Slumps

Brazil’s B3 stock exchange navigated turbulent trade policy news and commodity price swings to close July 21 on firmer ground. Sourcing official market data and trading charts, the Ibovespa index posted a 0.59% gain and finished at 134,166.72 points.

The day exposed sharp divergences between exporters feeding off global growth signals and domestic retailers battered by political risk. Brazilian blue chips reacted sharply after early losses tied to increasing U.S.-Brazil tension.

The United States recently set a 50% tariff on Brazilian imports and floated higher levies, escalating trade pressure. Domestic political upheaval affected risk sentiment further, especially after court interventions and fresh visa restrictions for Brazilian officials linked to ongoing investigations.

Commodity exporters led gains. Shares in Vale closed up 2.7% as iron ore prices advanced over 2%. Strong Chinese demand, marked by Beijing’s plan to build the world’s largest hydropower plant, supported iron ore and pushed steelmaker CSN Mineração up 4.8%.

Healthcare and food exporters followed, with Fleury jumping 14.9% after announcing a merger proposal, and BRF S.A. climbing 4.9% on renewed export optimism.

Brazil’s B3 Steadies at Support as Exporters Rally, Retail SlumpsBrazil’s B3 Steadies at Support as Exporters Rally, Retail Slumps. (Photo Internet reproduction)

Retailers sharply underperformed, led by Companhia Brasileira De Distribuição, which fell 7.7% as consumer confidence eroded and the currency weakened. Magazine Luiza dropped 3.6% and CVC Brasil lost 3.3% after soft consumer data and a hesitant macro backdrop.

Hapvida retreated 2.2%, reflecting negative rotation within healthcare, while CCR slid 1.4% as the infrastructure sector looks exposed to tariff-driven uncertainty. Benchmarked against global peers, the Ibovespa tracked ahead of major Asian and European indices for the session.

Meanwhile, U.S. benchmarks showed a mixed close: the S&P 500 and Nasdaq set fresh highs as traders pivoted to technology and awaited earnings, while the Dow was marginally lower.

Despite Brazilian equities appearing cheap next to international markets, tariff headwinds and currency risk persist. Technical analysis using daily and 4-hour charts reveals markets in a defensive posture.

The Ibovespa held above technical support at 133,600 but remains vulnerable, with both MACD and RSI deeply negative. The MACD’s bearish cross below the signal line and a falling histogram reinforce recent downward pressure.

The RSI hovers at oversold levels for both time frames, indicating selling has reached an extreme but hinting at possible near-term stabilization. The price sits on the lower Bollinger Band, which suggests limited room for further declines before a technical bounce.

Volume analysis remains critical. Recent sessions saw increased activity as foreign investors registered six straight outflow days, reversing earlier inflows. Rising ETF volatility — the CBOE Brazil ETF volatility index moved higher — signals persistent risk aversion.

No market maker furnished public commentary on the session. All available statements focused on policymakers’ commitment to negotiate tariffs or on sector-specific company disclosures.

The B3 closed the day balancing sharp policy shocks with support from global demand for raw materials. The session reflects how international trade policy and commodity trends now shape the Brazilian market’s reality more than ever.

Market Movers

Top 5 Winners

Company Ticker Gain (%) Reasons
Fleury S.A. FLRY3 +14.9 Merger talks with Rede D’Or; healthcare sector rotation
BRF S.A. BRFS3 +4.9 Strength in food exporters amid tariff talks
CSN Mineração CMIN3 +4.8 Iron ore price spike; China demand optimism
Raia Drogasil RADL3 +3.4 Defensive sector gain
Vale S.A. VALE3 +2.7 Iron ore rally on Chinese infrastructure expansion and stimulus prospects

Top 5 Losers

Company Ticker Drop (%) Reasons
Companhia Brasileira De Distribuição PCAR3 -7.7 Weak retail sentiment; currency volatility
Magazine Luiza S.A. MGLU3 -3.6 Retail sector under pressure; weak consumer data
CVC Brasil ON CVCB3 -3.3 Macro/geopolitical outlook; travel sector exposure
Hapvida HAPV3 -2.2 Healthcare rotation
CCR CCRO3 -1.4 Infrastructure/transport sector impacted by tariff concerns

 



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