Fantasy Football Matchup Rankings Week 1 | Strength of schedule

This is the 2025 fantasy football strength of schedule weekly matchup piece — or fantasy football matchup rankings, if you will. The acronym “APA,” might make you say, “DAMN!” but it’s really for Adjusted Points Allowed. Essentially, it’s the “true” measure of the strength of schedule because it breaks matchups down by the strength of opponent (positionally) faced each week.

The difference in a defense facing an elite player versus a basement talent will skew the fantasy points allowed for a team. APA adjusts for the previous opponents and gives us an “expected fantasy points allowed” to find the best and worst matchups. This is a truer and more accurate “strength of schedule.”

Please read for the APA explanation:

• APA is my calculation involving stats, metrics and matchup situations to adjust for opponent.
• These will get stronger and more predictive as the season rolls along.
• Rankings are from most favorable matchup (1 being the best) and most adjusted points allowed to the worst matchup.
• Use these to make tough calls with players close in start/sit choices.
  • Does *not* mean you bench a stud with a tough APA for a flier with a good matchup.
• The TEAM is the one with the matchup. The OPP is the team they are facing and “+/-” is the difference from the positional average.
• No DST since it’s wildly variable and lacks predictive value (one DST touchdown skews scoring too much).

HEADS UP

This is a stat table post, so comments won’t be monitored … but they will be on my other pieces each week (waivers, rankings, etc.), so just drop your questions in there and I’ll get them!

Week 1 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule
Matchup Rankings (APA)

(Photo by Mike Carlson / Getty Images)

Sep 4, 2025

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