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One morning, imagine opening the newspaper to find the following headline: “Diplomatic Ties Severed Between india and Turkey.” It may initially sound like a screenplay for a movie. However, the tale behind it—and the ramifications—would be serious and extensive if such a scenario materialized. Since all nations are intertwined in today’s world through trade, diplomacy, technology, and defense, a breakdown in relations between two big nations might have a profound impact on not only those countries but also their whole regions.
Imagine opening the newspaper one morning to find the headline, “Diplomatic Ties Severed Between india and turkey,” in bold letters. It may sound at first like a screenplay for a movie.
However, if that were to happen, the tale behind it—and the repercussions—would be serious and extensive. In today’s globalized world, when all nations are interdependent through trade, diplomacy, technology, and defense, a deterioration in the relationship between two powerful nations might have a profound impact on not only those countries but also their whole regions.
What if relations break down?
The greatest direct and immediate effect on trade would result from india and turkey cutting off all diplomatic relations. The two countries’ bilateral trade volume in 2023–2024 was approximately $12 billion. India imports machinery, minerals, building supplies, and food items from turkey and exports iron, steel, chemicals, cell phones, and auto components to Turkey.
High taxes on these commodities or even a total stop to imports and exports could result from the breakdown of relations. As a result, building materials would become much more costly in india, which would raise real estate prices and maybe make houses inaccessible for the average person.
On the other hand, Turkey’s businesses that depend on indian imports, especially the textile, pharmaceutical, and automotive sectors, would suffer greatly. Indian businesses might be compelled to leave Turkish markets, which would result in lost profits and even job losses. Both nations’ citizens would bear the financial cost.
Tourism Would Take a Major Hit
From touring the ancient alleyways of Istanbul to taking hot air balloon rides in Cappadocia, thousands of indian visitors visit turkey each year. Turkey has emerged as a popular travel destination for Indians. Reduced flight routes, altered visa regulations, and other travel restrictions could result from a collapse in ties. In addition to harming indian tourists, this would have a big effect on Turkey’s economy, which depends heavily on tourism.
Diplomatic fallout
India has been aggressively pursuing its international interests in turkey on the diplomatic front, whether it is by forming voting alliances in international trade groups or winning support at the UN. Turkey’s reputation among its Asian and Western allies would suffer if it were to offend a strong state like India. Such a rupture might briefly help china and pakistan since turkey might become more aligned with them. But turkey will never reap the economic rewards of a robust partnership with india through this new alliance.
A blow to the common man’s pocket
The most obvious consequences for the average person will be a slowdown in the tourism industry, increased costs, and job uncertainty. Market uncertainty will rise if relations worsen, which will affect investment and economic expansion.
In the end, it is not a question of right or wrong. The true query is whether each nation is prepared to forgo chances in the future in favor of the resentment of the present. Will turkey decide to cooperate instead of taking a confrontational approach? Or will the residents of both countries bear the social and economic consequences as the gap grows?
Today’s world requires bridges, not walls. Rest assured, however, that the repercussions will go beyond the news headlines if India-Turkey relations do indeed deteriorate. They will affect your next international travel, your career, and your finances.
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