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Latvia’s coalition quarrels but holds on to power – political scientist explains why

The coalition partners are currently not interested in toppling the government, as too little time remains before the next parliamentary elections, Rīga Stradiņš University lecturer and political scientist Lelde Metla-Rozentāle told LETA, commenting on recent clashes within the coalition.

According to the political scientist, society does not view the fall of a government as a positive development. Since this cabinet has managed to stay together through various challenges, the exchanges of accusations between parties are not aimed at bringing the government down.

Metla-Rozentāle noted that these activities carry a pre-election tone, with each party trying to show loyalty to its electorate’s interests.

“These differences are more about upcoming election rhetoric rather than anything serious enough to bring down the government,” she said, stressing that this three-party model has already weathered many challenges and has shown readiness to continue working together despite contradictions.

The political scientist added that coalition parties are likely to exchange barbs more often going forward.

Criticism will likely focus on issues that matter to their voters or that are easily understood by the public. For example, the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS)–led Ministry of Agriculture has proposed amendments to the Forest Law to lower the felling age for several tree species, a move opposed by The Progressives. This, she said, is a topic that is easy to communicate.

Metla-Rozentāle argued that polarizing issues will be used in party rhetoric, as is typical during election campaigns.

As reported, ahead of the government’s budget discussions, ZZS and New Unity (JV) politicians have traded accusations over the effectiveness of state spending reviews.

In a statement, ZZS urged Prime Minister Evika Siliņa (JV) to take spending reviews and public sector efficiency improvements more seriously.

Commenting on ZZS’s appeal, JV parliamentary faction leader Edmunds Jurēvics told LETA that ZZS “should move from words to deeds.” He argued that, contrary to its public rhetoric, ZZS has actually submitted proposals that would significantly increase state spending, including by several hundred million euros.

Meanwhile, The Progressives, reacting to the Ministry of Agriculture’s Forest Law amendments, stressed that

they categorically oppose logging as a way to “patch up” the budget.

Progressives faction leader Andris Šuvajevs said that the ministry’s vision “of Latvia as a third-world country selling its most valuable resources cheaply is a relic of the 1990s.”

It has already been reported that, after reviewing an informative report from the Ministry of Finance on the base of the state budget and special budget and the results of spending reviews for 2026–2029, the government supported expenditure cuts amounting to 171 million euros in the 2026 budget.

According to the report, the cuts free up an additional 171.065 million euros for 2026, primarily to improve fiscal space. In total, between 2026 and 2028, public sector spending is set to be reduced by 479 million euros.

Read also: BNN IN FOCUS | Austerity mode: Rajevskis explains what it means for people

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