Original Coverage & Source Attribution: decisiondeskhq.substack.com
DDHQ friend Chris Cillizza, who runs So What on Substack, was joined by Chief Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley and Data Scientist Maddisen Murrell to talk about Decision Desk HQ’s 2026 election forecast. The electoral environment has trended toward Democrats, which has helped make them clearer favorites in the House and very slight favorites in the battle for the Senate. More broadly, Democrats now have just above a 1 in 2 chance of sweeping both chambers. We’ll be doing regular updates about the forecast with Chris from now and until the election, so watch for future chats!
► Chris Cillizza on X: https://x.com/ChrisCillizza
► Geoffrey Skelley on X: https://x.com/geoffreyvs
► So What: https://chriscillizza.substack.com
—
► Find our forecast on DDHQ Votes: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/
► SUBSTACK: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/
► JOIN OUR OFFICIAL DISCORD SERVER: https://discord.com/invite/ddhq
—
CHAPTERS
0:00 Intro and overall forecast situation
8:55 What if the polls are wrong?
13:26 The perfect tool for Election Night
17:02 Kansas Senate
21:00 South Carolina Senate
23:05 Arkansas Senate
24:50 Florida Governor
27:17 Texas Governor
29:19 Texas Railroad Commissioner
33:02 The forecast toplines
